![]() It's still tilted towards greater rewards. 7 wins run: A winner is you, only 8.89% of players will go for broke. ![]() ![]() 17.79% of the runs end here, and with a single elimination, this means that half of them, or 8.89% will only have a second place medal, or first loser. 5 wins run: 23.73% will make it this far, but 5.93% won't take a single extra step.4 wins run: With only 31.64% people still here, 7.91% are going straight to Thresh's Lantern.3 wins run: Only 42.18% will pass here, and 10.54% of all runs will not get through.2 wins run: 56.25% of the field will go 2 wins, and of these people, only 25% will be stuck here, or 14.06% of all attempts.1 win run: Since you need to pass the first win, of whom 75% of the field will do, then you require the 0-2, which will be 18.75% of the runs.0 wins run: 0-2, since you have a 50/50 of winning/losing and you need two losses in a row, you get 50% 2, which is a 25%.This is assuming draws are considered as neither a win or a loss, with your record intact. To "lose" an expedition, you must either lose 2 games in a row (0-5 wins) or lose once if you already have 6 wins.This has been acknowledged as a potential issue by Riot and may change by the time the game is released. You're forced to either cough up for coins or farm a little constructed for the shards you're missing. If you don't have enough shards, tokens or coins to finish all 3 expeditions, you won't be able to continue playing by doing rewardless drafts.Once finished, you can do as many drafts as you want, but they have no rewards. You can only do rewards run three times each week.The rewards will only be from the highest run of the two. Once you start an expedition, you're allowed two draft runs, called Trials ingame.Expeditions cost 400 coins, 4000 shards or 1 token.If the whole post is TL DR, the last 5 lines at the bottom of the post has the required winrates to go infinite depending on your collection. If you catch anything wrong with it, be sure to let me know so I can fix it. Did I make a mistake? Was my math wrong? I only checked by putting all the tables and checking that everything amounts to 100% so I may have made a mistake that fitted completely right and wouldn't realize it. ![]()
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